Microsoft recently released a new phone under the Nokia brand: one without 3G, LTE, or WiFi. The Nokia 105 also
lacks a touchscreen and doesn’t support apps, and the only accessory
available for the phone is an extra battery. The phone costs $20 before
taxes, and Quartz’s Leo Mirani projects that it will be “a massive success.”
At the same time, Mirani asks, who would want to buy a basic phone
without Internet at a time when every major tech company wants to bring
the next million people online via mobile devices?
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A lot of people, as it turns out. A total of 2.07 billion
mobile phones are expected to be sold this year, and 1.48 billion of
them will be smartphones, which means that 590 million of them
Source: Microsoft.com will not
be smartphones. That makes
them either dumb phones, which don’t do much
except make calls and send texts, or feature phones, which do a few more
things than dumb phones, but don’t have touchscreens, GPS, or any of
the other features that make smartphones so, well, smart.
As Quartz reports, buyers of non-smartphones can be divided
into three categories. First up is the buyer who’s new to mobile phones.
That includes children in wealthier countries, the 300 million
Sub-Saharan Africans expected to buy their first mobile phones in the
next decade, plus first-time phone buyers in India, China, and Latin
America.
The second category of non-smartphone is buyers who simply
don’t want a smartphone. Whether “luddites or grandparents,” as Mirani
writes, these shoppers would rather not be Facebooking, Tweeting, and
consuming content on their phones. Even young phone owners don’t all
favor the smartphone; Time last year interviewed a few of the millennials who don’t use smartphones,
The third group is comprised of people who need a second
phone, perhaps one with better battery life for extensive travel,
camping trips, or music festivals. More than a quarter of Nokia feature
phone buyers purchase one as a second phone, which explains why
Europeans buy as many feature phones as Latin Americans. This third
category also includes a few “unlikely” members, such as tech execs and
founders, journalists who keep old phones for travel, and people who use dumb phones as a status symbol indicative of their power to reclaim the time they’d otherwise spend keeping up with texts, calls, and emails.
Dumb phones and feature phones represent a shrinking market,
and the market for non-smartphones shrunk by 14% between the first
quarter of 2013 and the first quarter of 2014. While 590 million
non-smartphones are expected to be sold this year, the number is
projected to fall to 350 million by 2019. But for the time being, device
makers still stand to profit from the sale of cheap and basic phones.
Ericsson estimates that there will be 9.2 billion mobile subscriptions,
and 1.4 billion of those will be non-3G subscriptions.
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