And while Apple’s new major releases, designated by a number
unaccompanied by a letter, are undeniably popular, the S models that
come in the years between major releases are also home runs for the
company, which The Verge reported in April has sold more than 700 million iPhones since 2007.
Source: Apple.com
While each of Apple’s iPhones seems to sell more than its last, the figures from Apple’s launch weekends — the only sales period in which Apple officially releases data on how well particular iPhone models are selling — reveal a much more significant jump in sales with each S model over the previous year’s release versus the jump from an S model to the next year’s major release, as illustrated by the infographic below.
While each of Apple’s iPhones seems to sell more than its last, the figures from Apple’s launch weekends — the only sales period in which Apple officially releases data on how well particular iPhone models are selling — reveal a much more significant jump in sales with each S model over the previous year’s release versus the jump from an S model to the next year’s major release, as illustrated by the infographic below.
Apple sold more than 1.7 million units of the iPhone 4 in the opening weekend following its launch, but more than 4 million iPhone 4s units in the phone’s debut weekend. It saw another significant jump with 5-series iPhones, selling 5 million iPhone 5 units during its opening weekend but more than 9 million iPhone 5s and 5c units in the models’ first weekend. Apple sold more than 10 million iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus units in
the weekend of the phones’ debut, and many industry watchers have high
hopes for the sales of the iPhone 6s that Apple is expected to debut
this fall.
BGR’s Yoni Heisler reported recently that the iPhone 5s is the most popular iPhone in use today, with approximately 125 million users, as estimated by Apple analyst Neil Cybart
at Above Avalon. Cybart started with Tim Cook’s comment that 20% of the
active iPhone installed user base had upgraded to the iPhone 6 and
iPhone 6 Plus. Apple sold 61 million iPhones in the last quarter, and
Cybart points to 80% of total iPhone sales as a reasonable estimate of
the proportion of newest iPhone model or models on the market. So Cybart
estimates that 48 million units of the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus were
sold between January and March, and puts the iPhone installed base at
approximately 475 million users. “With this estimate in hand,” Cybart
writes, “we can start to break out the iPhone base by model.” He
explains:
iPhone 6 has been outselling 6 Plus by approximately 2.5x, while both have been outselling the iPhone 5s and 5c by nearly 4-to-1. Taking into account these ratios, I suspect the current iPhone user base breakout looks something like:
iPhone 6: 85 million users
iPhone 6 Plus: 35 million users
Older (5s, 5c, 5, 4s): 355 million users
The 355 million strong user base of the iPhone 5s and older models
represents “the key number” for determining the market of iPhone owners
who are likely looking to upgrade to a new iPhone in the fall. But
Cybart’s estimates get even more specific when it comes to the breakdown
of the user base that might look to upgrade to the expected iPhone 6s
this fall. Using data from Fiksu, Cybart estimates that the current
iPhone user base breaks down in the following manner:
iPhone 6: 85 million users
iPhone 6 Plus: 35 million users
iPhone 5s: 125 million users
iPhone 5c: 50 million users
iPhone 5: 80 million users
iPhone 4s: 60 million users
iPhone 4 and earlier: 40 million users
Total: 475 million users
iPhone 6 Plus: 35 million users
iPhone 5s: 125 million users
iPhone 5c: 50 million users
iPhone 5: 80 million users
iPhone 4s: 60 million users
iPhone 4 and earlier: 40 million users
Total: 475 million users
Heisler reports that because iOS as a platform is “stickier” than
Android — meaning that iPhone owners are more likely to stick with their
current platform than Android users are — many owners of the iPhone 5s
and older models will likely consider upgrading to the iPhone 6s when
they’re eligible for an upgrade. The iPhone 6s is rumored to incorporate
Force Touch, which Apple debuted with the Apple Watch and has since
brought to the MacBook. It’s also been reported that the next-generation
iPhone will feature a 12-megapixel camera, improved build quality, a
thinner form, 2GB of RAM, an A9 processor, and improved TouchID
functionality.
iPhone S models are a solid choice for many Apple fans, some of whom
are quick to point out that game-changing features like Siri were
introduced in iOS releases that coincided with the debut of S models of
the iPhone (the iPhone 4s in Siri’s case). Perhaps the biggest drawback
of purchasing an S model is that you’re waiting an extra year to get the
upgrades introduced with the previous year’s major release — but the
phone that you ultimately get is better than the initial release, which
for many fans make the S model worth the wait.
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